WxSim & EC Forecast Comparison


Environment Canada (EC), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 09-17-18 at 9:00 am

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Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
09-17-18 28   11 19   -2 27   11 14   2 20   13 15   5 21   10 20   2
09-16-18 28 5.0 9 18 10.8 3 26   12 19   -1 23   11 15   2 19   15 15   6
09-15-18 29 5.1 8 19 10.8 2 28 5.0 8 19 10.8 2 26   12 19   -1 25   8 14   3
09-14-18 27 4.5 11 19 10.8 1 27 5.1 8 17 10.8 3 26 5.0 7 18 10.8 2 24   11 18   4
09-12-18 24 3.6 12 15 10.8 4 25 4.5 7 19 10.8 1 23 5.1 6 18 10.8 4 25 5.0 9 18 10.8 3
09-11-18 23 19.1 14 16 10.8 6 24 3.6 9 18 10.8 3 25 4.5 5 19 10.8 1 26 5.1 6 19 10.8 3
09-10-18 19 18.1 5 16 10.8 18 23 19.1 7 17 10.8 13 23 3.6 7 18 10.8 11 24 4.5 5 19 10.8 6
09-09-18 18 10.8 17 14 17.4 3 20 18.1 19 17 10.8 7 22 19.1 14 17 10.8 8 23 3.6 15 17 10.8 3
09-08-18 19 23.6 23 13 10.8 9 18 10.8 15 14 17.4 6 19 18.1 17 17 10.8 5 22 19.1 13 16 10.8 6
09-07-18 25 29.1 23 18 10.8 10 18 23.6 20 12 10.8 9 16 10.8 14 14 17.4 5 19 18.1 19 18 10.8 6
08-31-18 25 26.3 20 19 10.8 8 29 29.1 17 22 10.8 4 28 23.6 20 22 10.8 7 29 10.8 15 22 17.4 3
08-30-18 21 21.8 20 14 10.8 7 25 26.3 19 20 10.8 7 27 29.1 18 22 10.8 7 26 23.6 20 22 10.8 7
08-26-18 30 21.7 20 20 10.8 7 31 21.8 11 22 10.8 2 31 26.3 18 23 10.8 6 28 29.1 20 19 10.8 8
08-06-18 33 21.0 28 21 10.8 14 27 21.7 29 21 10.8 12 24 21.8 29 20 10.8 13 27 26.3 33 19 10.8 13
Results EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
# Succ 3 3 0 2 3 1 1 2 1 4 0 1 3 3 0 0
% Succ 23.1   23.1     15.4 25.0   8.3 8.3   16.7 9.1   36.4     9.1 30.0   30.0     0.0
Ave Error 10.2   5.4 6.3   5.8 10.0   6.0 7.4   6.2 9.2   4.2 8.1   5.6 10.6   4.7 7.4   6.1
Net Error 8.6   0.0 5.8   -4.2 8.9   -1.6 6.8   -5.6 8.8   -1.1 7.5   -5.1 10.4   1.0 7.4   -5.7
Std Dev 8.7   3.2 2.2   3.6 8.3   3.4 2.5   2.9 7.4   2.0 1.9   3.3 7.1   3.1 0.9   1.2

Updated: 09-16-18 at 9:00 pm

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Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
09-16-18 19   2 26   11 19   -2 29   12 16   1 21   13 15   6 26   8
09-15-18 19 10.8 4 28 5.1 18 19   4 22   19 18   5 23   19 14   5 19   20
09-14-18 18 10.8 1 28 4.5 10 19 10.8 4 28 5.1 9 19   3 26   10 19   2 25   10
09-13-18 18 10.8 -1 26 3.6 6 18 10.8 2 26 4.5 11 17 10.8 6 26 5.1 8 18   2 24   7
09-12-18 15 10.8 2 25 8.1 9 18 10.8 2 26 3.6 7 18 10.8 4 26 4.5 8 18 10.8 5 26 5.1 6
09-11-18 13 10.8 7 24 19.1 11 15 10.8 6 25 8.1 8 19 10.8 1 26 3.6 7 19 10.8 5 27 4.5 9
09-10-18 14 10.8 5 23 18.1 18 16 10.8 7 23 19.1 13 18 10.8 7 24 8.1 11 18 10.8 5 25 3.6 6
09-08-18 13 10.8 8 18 17.4 16 14 10.8 4 18 18.1 19 17 10.8 6 22 19.1 11 16 10.8 4 23 8.1 12
09-07-18 18 10.8 12 19 29.1 24 13 10.8 11 16 17.4 15 14 10.8 8 19 18.1 18 17 10.8 6 22 19.1 13
09-06-18 18 10.8 8 24 26.3 26 18 10.8 11 20 29.1 24 11 10.8 11 19 17.4 19 16 10.8 9 20 18.1 18
08-31-18 17 10.8 10 29 22.2 18 22 10.8 5 29 26.3 19 22 10.8 9 33 29.1 14 22 10.8 5 32 17.4 15
08-30-18 14 10.8 8 25 21.8 21 19 10.8 10 28 22.2 17 22 10.8 4 28 26.3 20 22 10.8 8 29 29.1 14
08-26-18 20 10.8 5 31 21.7 10 23 10.8 2 31 21.8 19 23 10.8 6 30 22.2 21 19 10.8 9 23 26.3 15
08-25-18 20 10.8 22 29 21.0 12 20 10.8 20 31 21.7 8 23 10.8 12 31 21.8 4 23 10.8 19 31 22.2 8
Results EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
# Succ 0 2 1 5 0 3 2 2 1 3 3 3 0 2 2 2
% Succ     15.4 7.7   38.5     25.0 16.7   16.7 9.1   27.3 27.3   27.3     20.0 20.0   20.0
Ave Error 5.9   5.7 10.4   4.8 7.1   5.4 10.4   4.8 7.7   4.3 9.9   5.7 8.2   4.9 11.1   6.1
Net Error 5.9   -3.8 8.5   -1.5 7.1   -3.8 8.7   -2.3 7.7   -4.1 9.9   -3.1 8.2   -3.3 10.5   -3.8
Std Dev 2.3   3.3 7.9   4.1 2.4   3.0 8.0   2.2 2.9   2.4 7.9   3.9 1.5   1.2 7.1   2.9