WxSim & EC Forecast Comparison


Environment Canada (EC), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 08-14-18 at 9:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
08-14-18 29   27 19   14 30   28 22   13 25   27 21   11 24   27 19   12
08-13-18 27 22.5 21 19 10.8 7 30   26 21   13 28   27 21   11 25   28 21   12
08-12-18 27 19.3 18 19 10.8 6 28 22.5 20 20 10.8 6 28   26 22   13 26   26 20   11
08-10-18 26 23.8 34 15 10.8 16 27 19.3 22 19 10.8 12 26 22.5 22 20 10.8 7 26   21 19   7
08-06-18 33 35.1 28 21 10.8 14 27 23.8 29 21 10.8 12 24 19.3 29 20 10.8 13 27 22.5 33 19 10.8 13
08-05-18 33 25.5 23 21 10.8 10 33 35.1 26 22 10.8 12 27 23.8 27 20 10.8 12 26 19.3 29 18 10.8 13
08-04-18 30 17.6 18 19 10.8 12 33 25.5 23 22 10.8 10 31 35.1 26 22 10.8 12 26 23.8 27 20 10.8 11
08-03-18 28 25.2 24 19 10.8 13 30 17.6 21 21 10.8 12 31 25.5 24 22 10.8 10 31 35.1 27 22 10.8 11
08-02-18 27 23.8 27 19 10.8 13 28 25.2 23 19 10.8 14 30 17.6 23 20 10.8 11 30 25.5 24 22 10.8 10
08-01-18 26 29.2 30 19 10.8 14 27 23.8 29 20 10.8 12 26 25.2 25 20 10.8 13 28 17.6 18 20 10.8 11
07-31-18 26 26.2 26 19 10.8 14 26 29.2 29 19 10.8 15 25 23.8 28 20 10.8 13 26 25.2 25 20 10.8 13
07-30-18 26 31.8 29 18 10.8 14 26 26.2 24 19 10.8 12 24 29.2 28 19 10.8 13 26 23.8 28 20 10.8 13
07-29-18 26 29.3 27 15 10.8 12 28 31.8 29 19 10.8 14 23 26.2 25 19 10.8 11 23 29.2 27 19 10.8 14
07-28-18 24 26.7 25 15 10.8 11 26 29.3 27 16 10.8 11 29 31.8 30 18 10.8 14 22 26.2 23 18 10.8 12
Results EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
# Succ 1 7 0 4 1 1 0 8 2 6 0 5 1 3 0 5
% Succ 7.7   53.8     30.8 8.3   8.3     66.7 18.2   54.5     45.5 10.0   30.0     50.0
Ave Error 4.4   2.7 7.5   2.6 4.6   3.4 9.0   2.0 4.2   3.5 9.2   1.8 4.6   4.3 9.0   1.5
Net Error 1.8   -0.5 7.5   1.2 2.5   -0.6 9.0   1.0 1.5   0.6 9.2   0.9 1.7   1.3 9.0   1.3
Std Dev 3.0   2.7 1.8   1.3 3.1   2.1 1.1   1.3 2.9   3.0 0.9   0.9 2.1   3.3 1.2   0.8

Updated: 08-14-18 at 9:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
08-14-18 19   18 30   29 19   14 25   27 21   13 24   28 18   11 24   25
08-13-18 19 10.8 10 30 22.5 26 19   14 29   27 22   11 25   27 21   11 24   27
08-12-18 19 10.8 6 27 19.3 20 20 10.8 6 28 22.5 26 22   13 27   26 20   10 24   29
08-11-18 15 10.8 10 27 23.8 21 19 10.8 8 24 19.3 22 20 10.8 7 28 22.5 26 22   12 27   28
08-10-18 15 10.8 20 27 37.7 29 15 10.8 14 26 23.8 24 20 10.8 7 25 19.3 20 20 10.8 8 28 22.5 25
08-09-18 18 10.8 17 25 35.1 36 16 10.8 17 26 37.7 26 19 10.8 11 26 23.8 26 20 10.8 9 27 19.3 20
08-07-18 21 10.8 15 25 31.7 30 17 10.8 15 27 35.1 33 20 10.8 14 26 37.7 34 20 10.8 17 25 23.8 28
08-06-18 21 10.8 17 27 29.9 31 19 10.8 13 25 31.7 30 19 10.8 13 27 35.1 33 20 10.8 14 26 37.7 35
08-04-18 19 10.8 12 33 25.5 23 21 10.8 9 31 29.9 26 22 10.8 12 27 31.7 28 20 10.8 11 26 35.1 30
08-03-18 19 10.8 13 30 25.2 20 19 10.8 11 30 25.5 24 22 10.8 10 30 29.9 27 22 10.8 12 25 31.7 28
08-02-18 19 10.8 12 28 23.8 24 19 10.8 13 28 25.2 23 20 10.8 12 30 25.5 23 22 10.8 12 30 29.9 26
08-01-18 19 10.8 15 27 29.2 27 19 10.8 13 28 23.8 23 19 10.8 12 30 25.2 22 20 10.8 11 30 25.5 23
07-31-18 19 10.8 14 26 26.2 29 19 10.8 15 26 29.2 29 19 10.8 12 26 23.8 26 20 10.8 13 28 25.2 16
07-30-18 18 10.8 12 26 31.8 24 18 10.8 13 23 26.2 27 19 10.8 14 26 29.2 25 19 10.8 13 26 23.8 22
Results EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS EC Act WS
# Succ 0 5 1 5 0 2 1 6 0 6 1 1 0 5 2 2
% Succ     38.5 7.7   38.5     16.7 8.3   50.0     54.5 9.1   9.1     50.0 20.0   20.0
Ave Error 7.7   3.5 5.7   3.1 7.6   3.0 4.8   2.6 9.1   2.0 4.8   2.8 9.5   2.1 5.2   3.6
Net Error 7.7   2.5 -0.3   -1.7 7.6   1.5 -0.7   -1.4 9.1   0.5 -0.2   -1.2 9.5   1.2 -0.4   -2.2
Std Dev 1.7   2.4 3.0   2.2 1.6   1.5 2.7   2.8 1.0   1.1 2.8   0.8 0.6   1.5 2.9   1.1